Regular Complexities: Lebanon's Water Issues

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Case Description
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Geolocation: 33° 53' 19.064", 35° 29' 43.7258"
Total Population 4.24,200,000 millionmillion
Total Area 10,50010,500 km²
4,054.05 mi²
km2
Climate Descriptors Arid/desert (Köppen B-type), Dry-summer
Predominent Land Use Descriptors agricultural- cropland and pasture, industrial use
Important Uses of Water Agriculture or Irrigation, Domestic/Urban Supply, Industry - consumptive use

Summary

Natural, Historic, Economic, Regional, and Political Framework

2.1 Geography, Hydrology & Water Details Hydrology, Quantity, and Quality: Lebanon is a rather small country of about 10,500 km2 (UN Data) but has a very diverse topography. Bordering only Syria and Israel, the topography of Lebanon is striking as there are enormous differences between the Mediterranean coastline and 3,000 meter (~10,000 feet) mountains. Lebanon has more water than other Middle Eastern countries receiving about 8.6 to 10 BCM (billion cubic meters) per year which translates to about 1,700 m3 per person (Haddadin). Comparatively, Israel and several countries on the Arabian Peninsula operate on about 650 m3 and the world average of water resources per capita is about 4,800 m3 per person (Berkoff 1994). Thus Lebanon is relatively water strong for the region, yet remains water strained. Figure 1: Lebanon geographical & topography map The water strain in Lebanon is noted by El-Fadel, Zeinati, and Jamali who state that current water resources often fall short of meeting demand, leaving the general population and industry without water. They also reference an ESCWA report stating, “Rapid growth and development in the region have led to mounting pressures on scarce surface and groundwater resources to satisfy water demands (1998).” Moreover, the current level of consumption for domestic, industrial and agriculture use is simply not sustainable for the future. Bou-Zeid and El-Fadel also support this notion, and comment that available water resources across the Middle East will fall to 667 m3 per person by 2025 due to population growth alone. El-Fadel et al. commented on water balance held a range from 400-1000 BCM/yr, while also noting a lack of knowledge in many hydrologic measures. Domestic user rates also vary greatly depending on the source and industrial demands are similarly unknown (El-Fadel, Zeinati, and Jamali). While acknowledging that future demand will put strain on the water resources of Lebanon, a potentially more pressing threat is the water availability itself. As shown in Table 2 the annual precipitation has been steadily decreasing since the 1960s. This decline averages to approximately a 20% decrease in precipitation over the last 50 years. Similarly, monthly precipitation data as shown in Figure 3 also shows a decline in availability by about 8%; however several months display a decline by 12-13% and no months increase precipitation. In many regions of the world, climate change models often show a shift in frequency and schedule of precipitation, although it appears that Lebanon has little variation in timing but a fairly consistent decline in precipitation across the year. Figure 2: Annual Precipitation Lebanon (mm) Shaaban 2009 A possible impact of climate change is also the impact of droughts in Lebanon. Historically, droughts have been very severe with a 40-55% less water per annum (El-Fadel, Zeinati, and Jamali). These droughts have a particular impact on the agriculture sector as El-Fadel et al. also note that approximately two-thirds of the water in Lebanon is used for agriculture. As noted above, the timing distribution of the precipitation is not ideal, as two-thirds of the precipitation falls between December and March and nearly zero precipitation during peak demand in mid to late summer, see Figure 3. The construction of the Qaraoun Dam on the Litani River in the Bekaa Valley is the country’s largest and was constructed in 1959 to generate power but also stabilize drinking and irrigation water supply. Figure 3: Historical precipitation Data (World Bank Group) The water quality in Lebanon contrasts widely, but is regularly very poor. There is often raw sewage and industrial waste that is openly dumped into streams and rivers. (El-Fadel, Zeinati, and Jamali; Assaf and Saadeh) Technical constraints in Lebanon are described in Table 1 below that further complicate the operation and management potential for the country. Table 1: Technical Water Constraints (El-Fadel et. al.) Constraints Exhibited Crumbling water distribution networks (municipal and irrigation) Large losses in excess of 50%, insufficient number of water treatment facilities Groundwater contamination Biological and chemical pollutants – lack of enforcement Illegal connections (or removal of flow meters) to the municipal water network and irrigation supplies Lack of capital to invest and maintain with a lack of enforcement Design of current water systems cannot adapt for future demand Isolated systems not designed for larger populations or development There are many hurdles for suitable water management from the natural and technical fields; yet the potential for even greater strain remains a constant threat without deliberate action. 2.2 Political Background To understand the politics of Lebanon, knowledge on the history of the country is compulsory because so much of society and government structures grew out of the turbulent past. After World War I and the fall of the Ottoman Empire, Lebanon was formed by the League of Nations. A very brief summary of events is outlined below in Figure 4. 1915 1920 1925 1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 Figure 4: Lebanon Timeline (BBC) The last 50 years of Lebanon’s history is marked with war and decades of foreign occupation, both evoke emotions that do that do not quickly fade. The 15 years of civil war segregated much of the country and was based on religious and ethnic tensions. The conflict only ended when Syria stepped in to stop the fighting, but these divisions were present long before the civil war. A balance of power was established under French occupation in the 1920s-30s that divided government positions by religion based on the census in 1932. This disbursement of positions was based on the recognition of 19 religions at the time of the census. The representation of religions was dictated during the French rule and gave the majority of power to the Christians based on census information. In an attempt to gain national unity despite a specific allocation of roles, the government was structured around a sharing of power between the president, prime minister, and the speaker of the house, but also goes on to dictate that the president to be Maronite Christian, the prime minister to be Sunni Muslim, and the speaker of the house to be Shi’a Muslim. As such, any political move also becomes a religious statement that represents various geographic portions of the country. No census has been carried out since 1932 leaving much to be known of the population which vary between 3.6 and 7.1 million people (El-Fadel), although about 4.2-4.5 million is generally accepted. More importantly however, is the shift in religious majority within Lebanon. While exact percentages are not known, it is known that Christians no longer maintain the majority and has been the case for decades. Arguably, the balance of power has made the government highly ineffective as Christian, Sunni, Shia, and 16 other religions are specifically represented in each government office with their own political agendas. A new census would provide political power to change the constitution and upset the current allocation of power, thus a new census is not likely to be had any time soon. 2.3 Water Governance The government structure to manage water resources is itself, a complicated array of agencies and policies. It has taken nine separate laws or decrees since 1966 to arrive at the current structure that remains a web of uncertainty. Table 2 outlines the legal progression over the last 47 years. Table 2: Lebanese Water Law (ARD) Legislative Document Year Summary Law 20/66 1966 Establishes the Ministry of Hydraulic and Electrical resources Decree 5469 1966 Organizes and defines the role of the Ministry of Hydraulic and Electrical resources Decree 9365 1968 Sets principle for water projects budget preparation and certification Decree 14607 1970 Forms a committee to solve disputes within the ministry Law 221 2000 Amends and modifies the role of the Ministry of Hydraulic and Electrical Resources Law 241 2000 Cancels the Ministry of Hydraulic and resources, merges into Ministry of Energy and Water and amends the organization Law 103 2000 Gives director general authority Law 377 2001 Adds municipal wastewater to the ministry’s authority The creation of the Ministry of Energy and Water should have helped to streamline the operation and management of Lebanon’s water resources; yet the governmental structure remains bureaucratic and complex. Table 3 below outlines the general roles of the government departments related to water operations. Several publications after 2001 do not describe the water governance structure in the same way with the Ministry of Public Works and Regional Water & Wastewater authorities seemingly omitted; this could allude to a lack in clarity of roles and responsibilities. Table 3: Department and role of water actors (ARD) Department Role Ministry of Energy & Water (MEW) Design and implement large water systems (similar to USACE in the United States). Monitors water quantities, qualities, plans for potable water supply, permitting, environmental concerns, enforcing documents Litani River Authority (OLN) Potable water supply within GoL county wide plan Ministry of Public Health (MPH) Water quality testing. Maximum loadings – biological & chemical Ministry of the Environment (MoE) Environmental Concerns (mainly wastewater) Water Establishments Economic targets for potable and irrigation water. Monitors water quality influent and effluent Local Municipalities Supervise projects within borders. Permitting. Other stakeholders* Supervise public work projects, potable water in displaced areas, plan and implement projects * Council for Development and Reconstruction (CDR), Min. of Agriculture, Min. of the Displaced, Min. of Defense (MoD), & Min. of Justice among others The complicated description of roles is further exemplified through the data exchange among different agencies. This convoluted exchange of information is witnessed in Figure 5 below that showcases 14 different agencies included in collecting and/or disseminating water information. Figure 5: Data Exchange between government water stakeholders (UNESCWA) At first glance, Figure 5 appears to positively involve many stakeholders at the national, local and regional levels; however, while nearly every sub-department has direct contact with the Ministry of Energy and Water, there is no clear structure for jurisdiction or authority at lower levels. Not only does this highlight the potential for monopolistic control, it also highlights the potential for inefficiency, as significant amounts of information pass through a single entity, the Ministry of Energy and Water. Government agencies are typically not isolated and need to operate in conjunction with other agencies, yet the data exchange structure seems to rely on fringe stakeholders instead of establishing a hierarchal structure. This could have been established to appease political agenda, thus forcing various involvements and leading to ineffectiveness. The unsuccessful governance has been witnessed by the population and is shown through the lack of enforcement of government policies, including environmental pollution or basic infrastructure. An article from a Lebanese newspaper explains: Water Governance Challenges The organization of water management is itself a challenge, yet there remains several more aspect that greatly hinders the effective management of Lebanon’s water resources. Some of these are natural constraints but many are a result of years of civil unrest and underdevelopment. El-Fadel summarizes several authors (Nimah & Hajjar, 1995; Ja’afar, 1996; Jaber, 1993, 1996; El-Fadel & Zeinati, 1999) to broadly describe some of the national challenges. Table 4: Water Challenges Challenge Reason or Effect Limited cooperation between water supply and wastewater treatment Only adopted within Min. of Energy and Water in 2001 Lack of coordination between districts (Cazas) Irregular water distribution. Local priority rather than regional or national priorities. Disregard of water policies from public No enforcement of policies Water resource records inconsistent/complete Records are dispersed among many agencies and not consolidated – minimal sharing of information Overlap in traditional water authorities and new government authorities Civil war and unrest halted the operation of national entities, a reliance on local providers then prevailed Duplication of authority Multiple government agencies have authority to carry out water related projects Effective water management Water authorities defined by political boundaries, not basins. Future water constraints Policies that reflect practicalities of Lebanese political viabilities Lack of modern irrigation techniques Water governance faces many current and future constraints but also is put under additional stresses such as ‘population growth, industry/agriculture development, ecological needs, climate change, non-sustainable development, and a lack of awareness’ (ARD Report) that further erode the sustainability of Lebanon’s water management in the coming years. Refugees in Lebanon Palestinian Refugees About 100,000 Palestinian refugees arrived in Lebanon in 1948 and were never able to return home. In fact, another surge in Palestinian refugees occurred during the Six-Day War in 1967 adding to what is today nearly 450,000 Palestinians living in Lebanon (Amnesty; UNWRA). The Palestinian population currently accounts for approximately 10% of the Lebanese population but often is marginalized without true citizenship anywhere. Many speculate that the influx of Palestinian refugees, whom are primarily Sunni Muslim, helped to ignite the civil war in 1970. There are a dozen Palestinian refugee camps across Lebanon, often in a state of disrepair and severe overcrowding, and remain in a political void with marginalized rights (ANERA). A branch of the United Nations called UNRWA (United Nations Relief and Works Agency) was dedicated to assist in the management and well-being of Palestinian refugees. Syrian Refugees The Arab Spring in 2011 created a great deal of unrest in the Middle East and has continued in Syria for more than two years. To date, more than 2.2 million people have fled Syria for surrounding countries including nearly 900,000 to Lebanon (UNHCR). The Lebanese government disagrees with UNHCRs population estimate as underreporting and has claimed more than one million Syrians have been in Lebanon since December of 2012 (UNHCR). Political and historical pressures did not allow for refugee camps to be established in Lebanon like Jordan and Turkey, because of the (perceived) political and social disruption stemming from the Palestinian influences. This action, or the lack thereof, forced large numbers of families into informal tents across open farmland, unfinished spaces behind shops, and squalid settings throughout Beirut, Tripoli, and other areas all over the country. Approaches to assist this vulnerable population have been stymied by the Lebanese internal political disparity and difficult humanitarian demands from the global community. Without formal refugee management, the Syrian refugee population puts an enormous strain on the local host community, while access to adequate water and sanitation remains dismal (Syrian Needs Assessment Project). Lebanon has failed to adequately address the enormous amount of people that sudden arrived in country, about a 20% increase in population over a two-year period. The infrastructure simply cannot handle the increased and sudden demand. This enormous influx in refugees would be difficult for any country to address, but further complicating any response is the type of needs for the Syrian refugees. Also, as displayed above, Lebanon cannot adequately meet its own current or future water needs, let alone meet the additional magnitude of the refugee influx – yet immediate needs remain. Further complexities are founded in that the Syrian refugees have inherently different needs than the Lebanese host communities. The refugees find themselves in temporary housing situations that are void of water and sanitation. A large population in rural and peri-urban areas without previous access to municipal supplies differ from the local population needs. The Regional Response Plan (RRP) is a United Nations planning tool to help estimate the current and future needs of the refugees. The water and sanitation needs included in the RRP6 is for 2014 and is summarized in the outputs below: There is also the difficult task of prioritizing needs among geographic areas, individual families, and acknowledging the strain on the local host communities. The government of Lebanon has sought assistance from the World Bank to estimate the strain on the country because of the refugee influx in economic indicators. Questions also remain in the timing of available response, potential for contingency measures and scope of potential timeframes. The war in Syria has been on-going since 2011, but no one knows how long it will continue. Due to the time involved in infrastructure projects, the applicability of some projects only become feasible with a two or three year outlook, yet the uncertainly of investment is unclear and quickly becomes a political issue. Ever more strain is experienced when UNHCR estimates that of the 833,000 registered Syrian refugees, more than 725,000 are in need of WASH assistance, but the sector is only 66% funded which leaves enormous unmet voids in humanitarian response. Moreover, contingency measures cannot be conceptualized when current needs remain unaddressed, yet the potential for even more refugees flooding the borders remain a threat as billions of dollars are still needed to respond to the current populations.



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